AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Wed, Oct 28, 2026
Brewers, Likud and Fed No Change lead gains; Vance and Bitcoin 77,500 slide
Live odds on the 12 highest-volume open Polymarket events, with probability history and analysis.
Polymarket via AISA API
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance · 38.8% -12.2 pp
$81.29M volumeFed Decision in October?
No change · 96.0% +63.5 pp
$70.59M volumePrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu · 47.5% +18.0 pp
$47.51M volumeMLB World Series Champion 2026
Milwaukee Brewers · 93.7% +79.8 pp
$40.05M volumeBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep · 65.5% +5.0 pp
$13.12M volumeIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
Likud · 98.8% +56.3 pp
$12.67M volumeWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↓ 77,500 · 25.5% -15.0 pp
$5.04M volumeNets vs. Celtics
Spread -13.5 · 96.7% +46.2 pp
$4.25M volumeIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 · 85.5% +63.0 pp
$2.14M volumePistons vs. Knicks
Race to 20 · 98.5% +0.0 pp
$1.52M volumeTrail Blazers vs. Lakers
Spread -4.5 · 64.0% -4.0 pp
$1.35M volumeKings vs. Spurs
Kings vs. Spurs · 97.7% +13.0 pp
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Where traders are most confident
Several markets sit near certainty on the board. Likud leads the Israeli Legislative Election Winner market at 98.8%, while the Fed Decision in October? market prices No change at 96.0%. Pistons vs. Knicks Race to 20 is at 98.5%, Kings vs. Spurs at 97.7%, and Nets vs. Celtics Spread -13.5 at 96.7%. These are market-implied probabilities that reflect current trading prices, not predictions of outcomes.
Where the odds moved most
The largest repricings came in Milwaukee Brewers to win the MLB World Series Champion 2026, up 79.8 pp to 93.7%, and the Israel Election Likud seat range of 25-29, up 63.0 pp to 85.5%. The Fed No change position rose 63.5 pp to 96.0%, while Likud in the Israeli Legislative Election Winner market gained 56.3 pp to 98.8%. On the downside, J.D. Vance in the Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 market is down 12.2 pp to 38.8%, and the Bitcoin 77,500 October price market is down 15.0 pp to 25.5%.
Volume and momentum
All tracked events
| Event | Leading | Odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance | 38.8% | $718.27M |
| Fed Decision in October? | No change | 96.0% | $81.29M |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Benjamin Netanyahu | 47.5% | $70.59M |
| MLB World Series Champion 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers | 93.7% | $47.51M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep | 65.5% | $40.05M |
| Israeli Legislative Election Winner | Likud | 98.8% | $13.12M |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in October? | ↓ 77,500 | 25.5% | $12.67M |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Spread -13.5 | 96.7% | $5.04M |
| Israel Election: Likud # of seats? | 25-29 | 85.5% | $4.25M |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | Race to 20 | 98.5% | $2.14M |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | Spread -4.5 | 64.0% | $1.52M |
| Kings vs. Spurs | Kings vs. Spurs | 97.7% | $1.35M |
How this page is made. The 12 highest-volume open events on Polymarket, refreshed daily via the AISA Polymarket APIs. Odds are market-implied probabilities — the price traders pay for a Yes share — not forecasts.