AgentFlare

Prediction Markets · Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Pistons vs. Knicks market priced at 63.5% Yes; the spread -4.5 line trades higher at 76.5%

Traders price the Pistons vs. Knicks game market at 63.5% Yes. The 2026-10-28 event carries 12 active markets and $2.14M in total volume.

LeadingRace to 2098.5%
~30-day move+0.0 pp
Volume$2.14M
24h volume$2.32M
Markets12
Ends2026-10-28
Probability of “Race to 20”Polymarket CLOB price history · 12-hour points · market-implied
Race to 20 probability: 10-23 50% → 10-28 50%; high 50% (10-23), low 50% (10-23)45%48%52%55%10-2310-2510-28
402 · Pay-per-Crawl$0.01

You're reading the full report — free for humans and search engines. The same content ships as a structured JSON dataset (normalized facts, sources and citation arrays, no HTML parsing) so AI agents can consume it directly — metered per fetch via the open HTTP 402 payment protocol.

⚡ Agents: fetch .data.json · $0.01 → agents: crawlerAutoPrice=true · verify at https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify

What the market asks and how it resolves

The core market asks who wins the NBA game between the Pistons and Knicks, scheduled for October 27 at 8:00PM ET. It resolves to Pistons if the Pistons win and to Knicks if the Knicks win, decided by the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The event closes 2026-10-28 with 12 active markets attached.

How traders price it now and how it moved

The Pistons vs. Knicks market is priced at 63.5% Yes, while the spread -4.5 line sits higher at 76.5%. The over/under 220.5 is at 60.0% and the spread -2.5 at 58.0%. Race to 20 and Race to 30 are priced at 98.5% and 98.1%. The only movement history provided covers Race to 20, which stayed flat across six half-day points with a change of +0.0 percentage points. Team to Score First sits at 50.5%.

How concentrated the odds are

Prices across the 12 active markets range widely, from 50.0% to 98.5%. Several props cluster near even, including Odd/Even Score, Overtime and Race to 10, each at 50.0%. Total volume is $2.14M and 24h volume is $2.32M, so activity is recent as well as cumulative. The clustering suggests many side markets are treated as close to coin flips while the race markets are priced as near certainties.

Current odds

Yes probability by marketWed, Oct 28, 2026 · Polymarket
Yes probability per market: Race to 20 98.5%, Race to 30 98.1%, Spread -4.5 76.5%, Pistons vs. Knicks 63.5%, O/U 220.5 60.0%, Spread -2.5 58.0%, Spread -6.5 57.0%, Spread -4.5 52.0%, Team to Score First 50.5%, Odd/Even Score 50.0%, Overtime? 50.0%, Race to 10 50.0%Race to 2098.5%Race to 3098.1%Spread -4.576.5%Pistons vs. Knicks63.5%O/U 220.560.0%Spread -2.558.0%Spread -6.557.0%Spread -4.552.0%Team to Score First50.5%Odd/Even Score50.0%Overtime?50.0%Race to 1050.0%
MarketYesVolume
Race to 2098.5%$0
Race to 3098.1%$0
Spread -4.576.5%$161,943
Pistons vs. Knicks63.5%$1.29M
O/U 220.560.0%$72,190
Spread -2.558.0%$8,054.95
Spread -6.557.0%$2,206.22
Spread -4.552.0%$1,338.54
Team to Score First50.5%$0
Odd/Even Score50.0%$0
Overtime?50.0%$0
Race to 1050.0%$23.08

What decides this market

  • Resolution follows the final score, including any overtime periods, for the game scheduled October 27 at 8:00PM ET.
  • A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, so timing can extend resolution past the scheduled date.
  • A full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50 rather than to either team.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 27 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.

FAQ

What decides whether the Pistons vs. Knicks market resolves to Pistons or Knicks?

The market resolves to the winning team based on the final score, including any overtime periods. A Pistons win resolves the market to Pistons, and a Knicks win resolves it to Knicks.

What happens if the game is postponed or canceled?

A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.

What does a 63.5% price mean?

It is the market-implied probability of Yes, reflecting how traders are pricing the outcome and the money behind it. It is not a forecast or advice.

View on Polymarket ↗

How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.

Sources & citations

  1. Pistons vs. Knicks on Polymarket
  2. Polymarket via AISA API