AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Mon, Oct 26, 2026
Traders price the Raptors as heavy favorites, with the main market at 96.5%
Prices show strong trader confidence in the Raptors across the spread and main-line markets. The odds are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
This event covers the NBA game between the Raptors and Timberwolves scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET, with 12 active markets tied to it. The core market resolves to 'Raptors' if the Raptors win and to 'Timberwolves' if the Timberwolves win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, while a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $4.70M across the event.
How traders price it now and how it moved
The Spread -5.5 contract is priced at 98.0%, which is its high over the recent window. It started at 77.5% and bottomed at 65.5%, a change of +20.6 percentage points over the last three half-day points. The main matchup market sits at 96.5%, and several spread lines sit between 96.5% and 97.6%, indicating broad agreement on a clear favorite.
How concentrated the odds are
Most spread and main-line contracts cluster near the top of the board, while the O/U 235.5 line sits at 94.5% and the O/U 239.5 line at 97.5%. Team to Score First, Odd/Even Score and Overtime? each show 50.0%, a level that reads as an even split rather than a lean. Volume reached $4.74M in the last 24 hours against $4.70M total.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 97.6% | $2,403.97 |
| Spread -4.5 | 97.5% | $10,223 |
| O/U 239.5 | 97.5% | $3,736.90 |
| Spread -2.5 | 97.5% | $71,168 |
| Spread -1.5 | 97.0% | $255,654 |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | 96.5% | $3.11M |
| Spread -6.5 | 96.5% | $295.62 |
| O/U 235.5 | 94.5% | $2,713.66 |
| Spread -2.5 | 93.5% | $40,428 |
| Team to Score First | 50.0% | $0 |
| Odd/Even Score | 50.0% | $0 |
| Overtime? | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The resolution names 'Raptors' or 'Timberwolves' based on the final winner, including any overtime periods in the score.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so scheduling changes can extend the resolution timeline.
- A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the current favorite pricing.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What does a 96.5% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability that the Yes outcome resolves, reflecting trader pricing at the time of the data. It is not a forecast or advice, and it can change as trading continues.
How is a postponed game handled?
The market remains open until the game is completed. Resolution then follows the final score, including any overtime periods.
When does the market resolve 50-50?
Only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. In that case the market settles at 50-50 rather than to either team.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.